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Portugalete vs Rayo Cantabria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Amilibia A.
87' Event
Lechosa U.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Portugalete and Rayo Cantabria finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Portugalete
20%
Draws
10%
Rayo Cantabria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Rayo Cantabria haven't matched Portugalete's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portugalete's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rayo Cantabria here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete Rayo Cantabria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.62 2.11
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Portugalete vs Rayo Cantabria
2:0
Feb 19, 2006 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Portugalete vs Rayo Cantabria
0:1
Sep 24, 2005 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Rayo Cantabria vs Portugalete
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Amilibia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lechosa U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 76 / 100
Rayo Cantabria 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete Rayo Cantabria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugalete's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rayo Cantabria let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portugalete remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS Rayo Cantabria
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
10 Oct
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
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Rayo Cantabria

(Away)
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5
Eibar B
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
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