Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Welington Zaru
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Madureira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portuguesa RJ lately — more wins on the board than Madureira.
- Model gives Portuguesa RJ a 36% chance of winning this.
- Portuguesa RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Madureira, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 19%
Madureira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portuguesa RJ | Madureira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Rio
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
1:1
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Rio
Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira
0:1
May 23, 2026 Serie D
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira
0:0
Jan 26, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portuguesa RJ Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Madureira Compare
Top Goalscorer Welington Zaru
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portuguesa RJ 36 / 100
Madureira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portuguesa RJ Madureira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portuguesa RJ's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Madureira let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Portuguesa RJ remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Portuguesa RJ VS Madureira
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portuguesa RJ
(Home) 12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1 Madureira
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0 Americano
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 7
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1 Madureira
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0 Americano
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA)
21 Jun
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 1 Noroeste
30 May
Portuguesa RJ
2 : 2 America RJ
Page 1 of 4
Madureira
(Away) 12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1 Madureira
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1 Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2 Madureira
06 Jun
Madureira
1 : 0 Pouso Alegre
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1 Madureira
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2 Madureira
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1 Madureira
16 May
America RJ
3 : 1 Madureira
02 May
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Madureira
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira -
Boavista -
Nova Iguacu -
Sampaio Correa FE -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
