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Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa FE

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa RJ play Sampaio Correa FE in the Carioca. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portuguesa RJ averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Sampaio Correa FE averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Portuguesa RJ won 2, Sampaio Correa FE won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 2, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Portuguesa RJ and 0.94 for Sampaio Correa FE. This points to a Portuguesa RJ double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Portuguesa RJ
20%
Draws
38%
Sampaio Correa FE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portuguesa RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Portuguesa RJ has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sampaio Correa FE.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Portuguesa RJ.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Carioca provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa RJ Sampaio Correa FE
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Carioca
Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Carioca
Sampaio Correa FE vs Portuguesa RJ
3:2
Feb 23, 2025 Carioca
Sampaio Correa FE vs Portuguesa RJ
3:1
Jan 24, 2024 Carioca
Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa FE
1:0
Sep 6, 2023 Copa Rio
Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rhuan Silveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa RJ 42 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa RJ Sampaio Correa FE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa RJ scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Sampaio Correa FE let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Portuguesa RJ went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sampaio Correa FE lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa RJ VS Sampaio Correa FE
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa RJ632113:711
2Sampaio Correa FE631210:810
3Nova Iguacu61417:67
4Marica61146:154