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Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Sertaozinho U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
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Match Events

64' Event
Gabriel L.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Portuguesa Santista U20 and Sertaozinho U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuguesa Santista U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Portuguesa Santista U20
35%
Draws
28%
Sertaozinho U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portuguesa Santista U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sertaozinho U20 come out ahead of Portuguesa Santista U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Portuguesa Santista U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista U20 Sertaozinho U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Paulista U20
Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Sertaozinho U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sertaozinho U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista U20 41 / 100
Sertaozinho U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista U20 Sertaozinho U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Santista U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertaozinho U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Portuguesa Santista U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa Santista U20 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista U20 VS Sertaozinho U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa Santista U20

(Home)
09 Oct
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
27 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 2
Portuguesa Santista U20
04 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
Page 1 of 6

Sertaozinho U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Santo Andre U20
3 : 0
Sertaozinho U20
19 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Santo Andre U20
12 Sept
Portuguesa U20
2 : 2
Sertaozinho U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 3
Sertaozinho U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)