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Portuguesa Santista vs Brasilis

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa Santista play Brasilis in the Paulista A4 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portuguesa Santista averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Brasilis averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Portuguesa Santista won 1, Brasilis won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 28, 2011 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Portuguesa Santista and 0.88 for Brasilis. This points to a Portuguesa Santista double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Portuguesa Santista
28%
Draws
18%
Brasilis
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa Santista picked up more points recently compared to Brasilis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 25%
Brasilis Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Brasilis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.43 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Paulista A4
Portuguesa Santista vs Brasilis
1:1
Aug 7, 2011 Paulista A4
Brasilis vs Portuguesa Santista
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 54 / 100
Brasilis 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Brasilis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Santista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Portuguesa Santista & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portuguesa Santista attacking → ← attacking Brasilis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Brasilis let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Portuguesa Santista went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Brasilis lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 24
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capivariano651013:416
2Guacuano631211:610
3Bandeirante62046:126
4Guariba61057:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barretos EC64028:312
2ECUS SP64027:512
3Palmeirinha SP62045:66
4Cotia62047:136
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente SP624011:510
2FC Primeira Camisa62319:79
3Guaruja62139:147
4Sumare60426:94
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desportivo63129:610
2Jacarei (Inactive)631214:1110
3EC Sao Bernardo62137:117
4Tupa62138:107
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fernandopolis642011:114
2Olimpia FC62316:69
3Sao Vicente61327:86
4Guarulhos60244:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portuguesa Santista63219:711
2Votuporanguense631211:610
3Brasilis62228:88
4Ole Brasil61145:124