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Portuguesa Santista vs Itapirense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Yohan

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Portuguesa Santista and Itapirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portuguesa Santista
6%
Draws
4%
Itapirense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portuguesa Santista come out ahead of Itapirense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Portuguesa Santista's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Itapirense
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.75 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Itapirense
1:0
Mar 25, 2010 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Portuguesa Santista
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Itapirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 95 / 100
Itapirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Itapirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Itapirense has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Portuguesa Santista remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Itapirense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285