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Portuguesa Santista vs Osasco Sporting

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Gabriel Santos
59' Event
Nathan Palafoz

AI Match Summary

The Copa Paulista 2025 game between Portuguesa Santista and Osasco Sporting finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osasco Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portuguesa Santista
33%
Draws
27%
Osasco Sporting
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Osasco Sporting haven't matched Portuguesa Santista's recent run of results.
  • Portuguesa Santista are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Paulista 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Osasco Sporting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Osasco Sporting
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Portuguesa Santista vs Osasco Sporting
0:2
Aug 25, 2025 Copa Paulista
Osasco Sporting vs Portuguesa Santista
0:1
Jul 28, 2025 Copa Paulista
Osasco Sporting vs Portuguesa Santista
3:1
Jun 22, 2025 Copa Paulista
Portuguesa Santista vs Osasco Sporting
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A2
Osasco Sporting vs Portuguesa Santista
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Osasco Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Santos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nathan Palafoz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 50 / 100
Osasco Sporting 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Osasco Sporting

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portuguesa Santista's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Osasco Sporting has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Osasco Sporting
1.75 Goals Scored 1.33
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Piracicaba2
AEA Aracatuba1
Portuguesa Santista1
Osasco Sporting2
Sao Jose EC3
Sao Bento2
Comercial2
Internacional de Limeira1
Uniao Sao Joao3
Noroeste1
Primavera EC2
Paulista1
Gremio Prudente2
Sao Caetano0
Monte Azul2
Francana3
Quarter-finals
Piracicaba3
Osasco Sporting0
Sao Jose EC0
Comercial2
Uniao Sao Joao0
Primavera EC6
Gremio Prudente4
Francana1
Semi-finals
Piracicaba2
Comercial1
Primavera EC3
Gremio Prudente2
Final
Piracicaba2
Primavera EC1