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Stadium Background

Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa, Santos
Portuguesa Santista Logo

Portuguesa Santista

1 - 1
FT
Rio Preto EC Logo

Rio Preto EC

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pablo
Own Goal
12'
de Oliveira Valerio V.
12'
de Oliveira Valerio V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Portuguesa Santista
35%
Draws
27%
Rio Preto EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Preto EC haven't matched Portuguesa Santista's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Portuguesa Santista have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portuguesa Santista, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 21%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Rio Preto EC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Portuguesa Santista
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC
1:0
Jan 17, 2018 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC
0:0
Apr 5, 2009 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Portuguesa Santista
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Otavio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Rio Preto EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 37 / 100
Rio Preto EC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Rio Preto EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Preto EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa Santista scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Portuguesa Santista stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rio Preto EC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Rio Preto EC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa Santista

(Home)
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2
Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

Rio Preto EC

(Away)
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marilia 3
EC Sao Bernardo 2
XV de Jau 3
Rio Claro 0
Portuguesa Santista 3
Paulista 2
Rio Preto EC 3
Uniao Barbarense 0
Semi-finals
Marilia 3
XV de Jau 2
Portuguesa Santista 2
Rio Preto EC 1
Final
Marilia 2
Portuguesa Santista 4