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Portuguesa Santista vs Taboao da Serra

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2016
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portuguesa Santista
6%
Draws
4%
Taboao da Serra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa Santista have won more games recently than Taboao da Serra.
  • Portuguesa Santista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 20%
Taboao da Serra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Taboao da Serra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2018 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Taboao da Serra
3:1
Feb 19, 2017 Paulista A3
Taboao da Serra vs Portuguesa Santista
3:0
Sep 24, 2016 Paulista A4
Portuguesa Santista vs Taboao da Serra
1:1
Sep 17, 2016 Paulista A4
Taboao da Serra vs Portuguesa Santista
0:1
Jul 12, 2015 Paulista A4
Portuguesa Santista vs Taboao da Serra
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 85 / 100
Taboao da Serra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Taboao da Serra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Portuguesa Santista went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Taboao da Serra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
XV de Jau3
Santacruzense1
Desportivo3
Vocem2
Taboao da Serra4
Inter de Bebedouro3
Mauaense2
Portuguesa Santista3
Semi-finals
XV de Jau4
Desportivo6
Taboao da Serra1
Portuguesa Santista2
Final
Desportivo1
Portuguesa Santista4