Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portuguesa vs Carabobo

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, Araure
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Perez J.
Assist: Rojas R.
16'
Trujillo A.
17'
Cova M.

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Portuguesa
35%
Draws
32%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Carabobo have won more games recently than Portuguesa.
  • Portuguesa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Carabobo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Carabobo
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Portuguesa
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Carabobo vs Portuguesa
5:0
Aug 19, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Portuguesa vs Carabobo
1:1
Jul 11, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Carabobo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carabobo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 50 / 100
Carabobo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Portuguesa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Carabobo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Carabobo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
30 Aug
Portuguesa
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
23 Aug
Monagas
0 : 0
Portuguesa
15 Aug
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Trujillanos
09 Aug
Academia Anzoategui
3 : 4
Portuguesa
04 Aug
Dep. Tachira
1 : 0
Portuguesa
Page 1 of 6

Carabobo

(Away)
30 Aug
Carabobo
0 : 0
Zamora
21 Aug
Caracas
1 : 1
Carabobo
16 Aug
Carabobo
1 : 0
Metropolitanos
08 Aug
Monagas
1 : 0
Carabobo
04 Aug
Carabobo
2 : 0
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
2 Dep. Tachira 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Metropolitanos 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 4 0 2 16:8 12
5 Portuguesa 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Estudiantes Merida 6 3 2 1 7:7 11
7 Carabobo 6 2 2 2 4:3 8
8 Trujillanos 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
9 Zamora 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
10 Universidad Central 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
11 Caracas 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
12 Monagas 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
13 Academia Anzoategui 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
14 Rayo Zuliano 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)