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Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, Araure
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Londono F.
47'
Moreno Quero L.
59'
Sub
Gonzalez M. In: Castellanos J.
Out: Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Portuguesa
35%
Draws
26%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portuguesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Portuguesa average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Deportivo La Guaira's 1.24.
  • Portuguesa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 13
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:2
May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
1:1
Apr 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 59 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Deportivo La Guaira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Portuguesa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
19 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
2 : 1
Portuguesa
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
13 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Portuguesa
05 Sept
Portuguesa
1 : 1
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 12 10 1 1 28:9 31
2 Dep. Tachira 12 8 2 2 28:15 26
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 12 4 6 2 14:12 18
6 Deportivo La Guaira 12 5 2 5 21:16 17
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
12 Rayo Zuliano 12 3 2 7 17:27 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)