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Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, Araure
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gianoli M.
Assist: Uribe A.
26'
Zuniga K.
31'
Lovazzano L.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo La Guaira in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Portuguesa
35%
Draws
26%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portuguesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira haven't matched Portuguesa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portuguesa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:2
May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
1:1
Apr 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
3:1
Jun 9, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Gianoli M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 59 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Deportivo La Guaira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Portuguesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
19 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
2 : 1
Portuguesa
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
13 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Portuguesa
05 Sept
Portuguesa
1 : 1
Zamora
02 Sept
Caracas
1 : 1
Portuguesa
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
2 Portuguesa 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
3 Deportivo La Guaira 6 1 4 1 5:5 7
4 Universidad Central 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Dep. Tachira 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Metropolitanos 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Estudiantes Merida 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)