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Portuguesa W vs Corinthians W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa W play Corinthians W in the Paulista Women 2018. Corinthians W are favorites here. Recently, Portuguesa W averaged 0.63 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. Corinthians W averaged 2.77 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Portuguesa W won 0, Corinthians W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 18, 2022 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Portuguesa W and 1.80 for Corinthians W. This points to a Corinthians W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Portuguesa W
15%
Draws
76%
Corinthians W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa W picked up more points recently compared to Corinthians W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 11%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa W Corinthians W
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 2 33
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 0.63 2.77
Goals Conceded 3.37 0.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2022 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Portuguesa W
6:0
Oct 3, 2021 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Corinthians W
0:4
May 26, 2019 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Portuguesa W
3:0
Apr 7, 2019 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Corinthians W
0:5
Jun 23, 2018 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Portuguesa W
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa W 10 / 100
Corinthians W 70 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa W Corinthians W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Corinthians W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portuguesa W attacking → ← attacking Corinthians W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Corinthians W let in goals in 39% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Portuguesa W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 103
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W1063123:1121
2Ferroviaria W1053227:1518
3Ponte Preta W1051420:1416
4Osasco Audax W1043314:1215
5Francana W1021710:227
6Embu Das Artes W1021711:317
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W12111046:1034
2Santos W1282248:1126
3Sao Jose W1264224:1522
4Taubate W1252520:1717
5CA Juventus W1233611:3012
6Portuguesa W1221915:447
7Centro Olimpico W1201117:441