Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portuguesa W vs Sao Jose W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa W play Sao Jose W in the Paulista Women 2019. Sao Jose W are favorites here. Recently, Portuguesa W averaged 0.63 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. Sao Jose W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, Portuguesa W won 0, Sao Jose W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2022 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.85 for Portuguesa W and 0.80 for Sao Jose W. This points to a Sao Jose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Portuguesa W
15%
Draws
69%
Sao Jose W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa W picked up more points recently compared to Sao Jose W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.85 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 26%
Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa W Sao Jose W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 0
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 0.63 1.42
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2022 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Sao Jose W
1:5
Sep 29, 2021 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Portuguesa W
1:0
May 19, 2019 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Sao Jose W
1:3
Mar 31, 2019 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Portuguesa W
2:1
May 26, 2018 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Portuguesa W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa W 20 / 100
Sao Jose W 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa W Sao Jose W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sao Jose W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portuguesa W attacking → ← attacking Sao Jose W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Sao Jose W let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Portuguesa W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sao Jose W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 36
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo W1064019:722
2Ferroviaria W1055020:520
3Ponte Preta W1050515:1615
4Palmeiras W1034312:1013
5Osasco Audax W102359:129
6Inter de Franca W101094:293
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W10100032:530
2Santos W1080234:1224
3Sao Jose W1051414:1516
4CA Juventus W1022614:318
5Portuguesa W101187:304
6Taubate W1004610:184