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Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Posta Rangers host Nairobi United in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nairobi United have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Posta Rangers have conceded 1.32 and scored 0.76. Head-to-head, Posta Rangers have won 1 to Nairobi United's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.32 vs 0.69, favoring Nairobi United. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Posta Rangers
35%
Draws
39%
Nairobi United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nairobi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nairobi United lately — more wins on the board than Posta Rangers.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Posta Rangers Nairobi United
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.76 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United
0:2
Dec 8, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Posta Rangers 32 / 100
Nairobi United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Posta Rangers Nairobi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi United let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Posta Rangers scored in 56% of their last 25 outings.

Recent resilience: Posta Rangers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Posta Rangers VS Nairobi United
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
13% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Posta Rangers

(Home)
28 Oct
Bandari
0 : 0
Posta Rangers
23 Oct
Posta Rangers
1 : 0
KCB
18 Oct
Muranga
5 : 1
Posta Rangers
10 Oct
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Shabana
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
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Nairobi United

(Away)
28 Oct
Muranga
3 : 2
Nairobi United
25 Oct
Nairobi United
1 : 1
APS Bomet
18 Oct
Shabana
0 : 0
Nairobi United
11 Oct
Nairobi United
2 : 2
KCB
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 KCB 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Muranga 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
4 Mara Sugar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
5 Leopards 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
6 APS Bomet 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
7 Shabana 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 3K FC 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Posta Rangers 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
11 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
12 Nairobi United 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Bandari 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Migori 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Police FC 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
16 Mathare United 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
17 Ulinzi Stars 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
18 Mombasa United 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)