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Posta Rangers vs Police FC

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Macharia J.
72' Event
Mwema D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Posta Rangers and Police FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Posta Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Posta Rangers
28%
Draws
22%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Posta Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Posta Rangers are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 68%
Police FC Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Posta Rangers Police FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 12 15
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Police FC
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Posta Rangers
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Police FC
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Posta Rangers
3:2
Feb 10, 2024 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Police FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Posta Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Macharia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwema D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Police FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Posta Rangers 59 / 100
Police FC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Posta Rangers Police FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Posta Rangers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Posta Rangers found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Police FC has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Posta Rangers VS Police FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Posta Rangers

(Home)
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0
Sofapaka
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1
Posta Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Police FC

(Away)
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)