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Posta Rangers vs Shabana

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Batshi A.
57' Event
Michira B.

AI Match Summary

Shabana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Posta Rangers
35%
Draws
25%
Shabana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Posta Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shabana lately — more wins on the board than Posta Rangers.
  • Win probability leans Posta Rangers's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 68%
Shabana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Posta Rangers Shabana
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.77 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.12 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Shabana
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Shabana
0:2
Oct 15, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Posta Rangers
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Shabana
2:1
Dec 4, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs Posta Rangers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Posta Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Shabana Compare

Top Goalscorer Batshi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michira B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Posta Rangers 51 / 100
Shabana 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Posta Rangers Shabana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Posta Rangers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Posta Rangers found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).

Shabana let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Posta Rangers VS Shabana
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Posta Rangers

(Home)
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0
Sofapaka
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1
Posta Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Shabana

(Away)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)