Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Macharia J.
64'
64'
Noor E.
64'
64'
Olilo C.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Posta Rangers and Sofapaka finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Posta Rangers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Posta Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Posta Rangers come out ahead of Sofapaka on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Posta Rangers taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sofapaka here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Sofapaka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Posta Rangers | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Sofapaka
3:0
Nov 10, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Sofapaka
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers
2:1
May 15, 2024 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Posta Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Macharia J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Noor E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79
Sofapaka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.51
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Posta Rangers 85 / 100
Sofapaka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Posta Rangers Sofapaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Posta Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sofapaka let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Posta Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Sofapaka lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Posta Rangers VS Sofapaka
1 Goals Scored 0.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Posta Rangers
(Home) 31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
23 May
KCB
0 : 1 Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1 Posta Rangers
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31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
24 Apr
Posta Rangers
1 : 1 Bidco United
19 Apr
Posta Rangers
0 : 3 APS Bomet
12 Apr
Posta Rangers
0 : 2 Nairobi United
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Sofapaka
(Away) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
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31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
26 Apr
APS Bomet
1 : 0 Sofapaka
18 Apr
Tusker
0 : 0 Sofapaka
29 Mar
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0 Sofapaka
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
