Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Macharia J.
64'
64'
Noor E.
64'
64'
Olilo C.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Posta Rangers and Sofapaka finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Posta Rangers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Posta Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Posta Rangers come out ahead of Sofapaka on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Posta Rangers taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sofapaka here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Sofapaka Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Posta Rangers | Sofapaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Sofapaka
3:0
Nov 10, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Sofapaka
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers
2:1
May 15, 2024 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Posta Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Macharia J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Noor E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Sofapaka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Posta Rangers 85 / 100
Sofapaka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Posta Rangers Sofapaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sofapaka let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Posta Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Sofapaka lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Posta Rangers VS Sofapaka
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Posta Rangers
(Home) 31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
23 May
KCB
0 : 1 Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1 Posta Rangers
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31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
24 Apr
Posta Rangers
1 : 1 Bidco United
19 Apr
Posta Rangers
0 : 3 APS Bomet
12 Apr
Posta Rangers
0 : 2 Nairobi United
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Sofapaka
(Away) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
26 Apr
APS Bomet
1 : 0 Sofapaka
18 Apr
Tusker
0 : 0 Sofapaka
29 Mar
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0 Sofapaka
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)