Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Murano J.
26'
26'
Maiolo F.
45'
45'
Petrungaro L.
Assist: Kirwan N.
AI Match Summary
Potenza in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Potenza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Potenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Potenza lately — more wins on the board than Cavese.
- Potenza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Cavese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Potenza | Cavese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Cavese
4:2
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Cavese
2:2
Nov 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Potenza
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Cavese
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Cavese
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Potenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Murano J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Petrungaro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Cavese Compare
Top Goalscorer Fusco G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Minaj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Potenza 59 / 100
Cavese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Potenza Cavese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Potenza scored in 70% of their last 33 games.
Cavese let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Potenza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Potenza VS Cavese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Potenza
(Home) 20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4 Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 4
Cavese
(Away) 20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3 Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0 Cavese
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1 Cavese
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0 Cavese
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1 Cavese
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0 Cavese
15 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0 Cavese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Potenza | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Bari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Casertana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Audace Cerignola | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Inter U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Casarano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Picerno | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Monopoli | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 11 | Catania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Barletta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Scafatese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Altamura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 15 | A.C. Savoia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Foggia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Cavese | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:15 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
