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Stadium Background

Potenza vs Crotone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Potenza host Crotone in the Serie C - Group C. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Potenza have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against Crotone's 1.45 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Potenza have won 1 to Crotone's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.31) point toward Potenza. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Potenza
20%
Draws
20%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Potenza come out ahead of Crotone on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Potenza taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Potenza Clean Sheet 18%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Crotone
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Potenza
2:0
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Crotone
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Crotone
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Potenza
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Crotone
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 85 / 100
Crotone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Potenza remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Potenza scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Crotone
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
17 Oct
Potenza
2 : 1
Catania
11 Oct
Foggia
1 : 3
Potenza
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2
Picerno
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4
Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
Page 1 of 7

Crotone

(Away)
18 Oct
Bari
0 : 0
Crotone
10 Oct
Crotone
2 : 3
Audace Cerignola
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
2 Bari 10 6 2 2 13:6 20
3 Sorrento 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
6 Casertana 10 4 4 2 15:13 16
7 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
8 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
9 Scafatese 9 3 5 1 15:13 14
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 9 4 1 4 18:17 13
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Barletta 10 2 5 3 13:15 11
14 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
15 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
16 Altamura 10 3 2 5 7:14 11
17 A.C. Savoia 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 10 1 2 7 8:22 5
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)