Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Camigliano A. In: Bura R.
Out: Camigliano A.
18'
18'
Ricci F.
37'
37'
Bruschi N.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Potenza in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Potenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Potenza lately — more wins on the board than Crotone.
- Potenza are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Potenza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Potenza, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Potenza | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Potenza
2:0
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Crotone
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Crotone
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Potenza
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Crotone
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Potenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Maisto F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Selleri G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Murano J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Potenza 77 / 100
Crotone 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Potenza Crotone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Potenza scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Recent resilience: Potenza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Potenza VS Crotone
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Potenza
(Home) 20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4 Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 4
Crotone
(Away) 20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
