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Potenza vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Selleri G.
23'
Iob S.
35'
Sub
Riggio C. In: Camigliano A.
Out: Riggio C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Potenza and Siracusa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Potenza
35%
Draws
31%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Siracusa haven't matched Potenza's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Potenza Clean Sheet 19%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Siracusa
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Siracusa
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Potenza
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Siracusa
2:0
Oct 21, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Potenza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Felippe L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Arditi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 32 / 100
Siracusa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Potenza scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Potenza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Siracusa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1
Monopoli
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Siracusa

(Away)
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)