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Potyguar Seridoense vs CE Forca E Luz

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Robinho
38' Event
Mikael Mendes

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Potiguar 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Potyguar Seridoense
20%
Draws
16%
CE Forca E Luz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potyguar Seridoense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Potyguar Seridoense lately — more wins on the board than CE Forca E Luz.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Potyguar Seridoense taking it.
  • Regular Potiguar 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Potyguar Seridoense Clean Sheet 20%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potyguar Seridoense CE Forca E Luz
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2024 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs CE Forca E Luz
1:1
Feb 12, 2023 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potyguar Seridoense
2:0
Jan 15, 2023 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs CE Forca E Luz
1:0
Feb 23, 2022 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potyguar Seridoense
0:0
Jan 19, 2022 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs CE Forca E Luz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potyguar Seridoense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikael Mendes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

CE Forca E Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potyguar Seridoense 58 / 100
CE Forca E Luz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potyguar Seridoense CE Forca E Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potyguar Seridoense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Forca E Luz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Potyguar Seridoense scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

CE Forca E Luz's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Potyguar Seridoense VS CE Forca E Luz
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Potyguar Seridoense

(Home)
08 Feb
Laguna RN
2 : 2
Potyguar Seridoense
04 Feb
QFC
4 : 1
Potyguar Seridoense
31 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
2 : 4
ABC
25 Jan
Potiguar de Mossoró
2 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
18 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Globo FC
Page 1 of 7

CE Forca E Luz

(Away)
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4
ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1
Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0
CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2
Potiguar de Mossoró
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz de Natal 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 America RN 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 Potyguar Seridoense 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
4 Globo FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potiguar de Mossoró 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 ABC 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
3 Baraunas 4 2 2 0 9:3 2
4 CE Forca E Luz 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)