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Potyguar Seridoense vs Santa Cruz de Natal

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Tiba Leonardo
68' Event
Tiba Leonardo
86' Event
Robertinho

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar game between Potyguar Seridoense and Santa Cruz de Natal finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz de Natal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Potyguar Seridoense
20%
Draws
38%
Santa Cruz de Natal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potyguar Seridoense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz de Natal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Potyguar Seridoense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Santa Cruz de Natal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Potyguar Seridoense Clean Sheet 14%
Santa Cruz de Natal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potyguar Seridoense Santa Cruz de Natal
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs Santa Cruz de Natal
1:3
Feb 1, 2024 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs Potyguar Seridoense
4:0
Jan 25, 2024 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs Santa Cruz de Natal
0:1
Feb 19, 2022 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs Santa Cruz de Natal
2:0
Jan 16, 2022 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs Potyguar Seridoense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potyguar Seridoense Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santa Cruz de Natal Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiba Leonardo
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potyguar Seridoense 41 / 100
Santa Cruz de Natal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potyguar Seridoense Santa Cruz de Natal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Potyguar Seridoense scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Santa Cruz de Natal has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Potyguar Seridoense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Potyguar Seridoense VS Santa Cruz de Natal
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RN752016:317
2ABC743016:515
3QFC742114:514
4Potiguar de Mossoró74217:314
5Laguna RN712412:175
6Santa Cruz de Natal71249:195
7Potyguar Seridoense71158:194
8Globo FC70257:182