Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009

Mazarron CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pozo Estrecho play Mazarron CF in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pozo Estrecho averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Mazarron CF averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Pozo Estrecho won 0, Mazarron CF won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2009 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Pozo Estrecho and 1.36 for Mazarron CF. This points to a Mazarron CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Pozo Estrecho

29%

Draws

52%

Mazarron CF

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Mazarron CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Pozo Estrecho picked up more points recently compared to Mazarron CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Pozo Estrecho Clean Sheet 18%

Mazarron CF Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pozo Estrecho	Mazarron CF
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	15
Draws	6	12
Losses	18	5
Goals Scored	1.13	1.59
Goals Conceded	2.4	0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Mazarron CF vs Pozo Estrecho

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

5:3

Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Pozo Estrecho vs Mazarron CF

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozo Estrecho 21 / 100

Mazarron CF 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pozo Estrecho Mazarron CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mazarron CF or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pozo Estrecho attacking → ← attacking Mazarron CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozo Estrecho scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Mazarron CF let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Pozo Estrecho went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mazarron CF lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 57

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Caravaca	38	27	6	5	115:26	87
2	Moratalla	38	25	8	5	82:32	83
3	Cartagena La Union	38	23	11	4	76:27	80
4	Yeclano	38	24	8	6	83:37	80
5	Pinatar	38	21	9	8	77:37	72
6	Mazarron CF	38	19	10	9	81:46	67
7	Ciudad Cieza	38	16	14	8	77:45	62
8	Futbol Club Jumilla	38	16	14	8	63:35	62
9	Beniel	38	15	11	12	39:32	56
10	Santomera	38	13	10	15	51:66	49
11	CA Pulpileno	38	13	7	18	50:67	46
12	Deportivo Murcia	38	12	9	17	59:56	45
13	Lorca Deportiva II	38	9	15	14	49:54	42
14	Bala Azul	38	12	4	22	52:86	40
15	Plus Ultra	38	10	10	18	43:64	40
16	Calasparra FC	38	9	13	16	43:60	40
17	CD Lumbreras	38	8	6	24	41:90	30
18	Pozo Estrecho	38	8	6	24	40:88	30
19	Muleno CF	38	4	11	23	33:85	23
20	Ciudad Lorca	38	4	2	32	32:153	9