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Pozoblanco vs AD Ceuta B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pozoblanco host AD Ceuta B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. AD Ceuta B have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Pozoblanco have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Pozoblanco slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Pozoblanco. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pozoblanco
15%
Draws
34%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pozoblanco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Ceuta B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pozoblanco's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pozoblanco Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozoblanco AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Pozoblanco
0:1
Sep 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs AD Ceuta B
3:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Pozoblanco
4:1
Dec 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs AD Ceuta B
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs AD Ceuta B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozoblanco 85 / 100
AD Ceuta B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozoblanco AD Ceuta B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pozoblanco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozoblanco's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: AD Ceuta B conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Pozoblanco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pozoblanco VS AD Ceuta B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozoblanco

(Home)
04 Oct
Pozoblanco
3 : 1
Linense
26 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 1
Pozoblanco
20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2
CD Utrera
13 Sept
Pozoblanco
3 : 0
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
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AD Ceuta B

(Away)
10 Oct
AD Ceuta B
3 : 0
Conil
03 Oct
Dos Hermanas
5 : 0
AD Ceuta B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Tomares UD 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
6 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
7 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Chiclana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
12 Conil 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
14 Sevilla C 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
16 AD Ceuta B 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
17 Bollullos 5 0 2 3 6:10 2
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)