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Pozoblanco vs CD Utrera

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Vargas J.
36' Event
Marrufo A.
68' Event
Marrufo A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 game between Pozoblanco and CD Utrera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Utrera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pozoblanco
15%
Draws
64%
CD Utrera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Utrera come out ahead of Pozoblanco on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pozoblanco Clean Sheet 16%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozoblanco CD Utrera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs CD Utrera
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs CD Utrera
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Pozoblanco
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Pozoblanco
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Pozoblanco vs CD Utrera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozoblanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

CD Utrera Compare

Top Goalscorer Marrufo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozoblanco 36 / 100
CD Utrera 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozoblanco CD Utrera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozoblanco scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

CD Utrera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Pozoblanco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pozoblanco VS CD Utrera
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozoblanco

(Home)
20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2
CD Utrera
13 Sept
Pozoblanco
3 : 0
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
29 Aug
Pozoblanco
1 : 3
Puente Genil
10 May
Pozoblanco
2 : 2
Cordoba B
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CD Utrera

(Away)
20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2
CD Utrera
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuense 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Dos Hermanas 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Betis C 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
4 Egabrense 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
5 Xerez Deportivo FC 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 CD Utrera 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
7 Cadiz B 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
8 Tomares UD 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Chiclana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 AD Ceuta B 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
11 Pozoblanco 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
12 Linense 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Sevilla C 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Conil 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
16 Bollullos 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
17 San Roque de Lepe 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Cordoba B 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)