Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Tomares UD

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pozoblanco play Tomares UD in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pozoblanco averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Tomares UD averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Pozoblanco won 2, Tomares UD won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Pozoblanco and 1.50 for Tomares UD. This points to a Tomares UD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Pozoblanco

22%

Draws

41%

Tomares UD

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Pozoblanco picked up more points recently compared to Tomares UD.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Pozoblanco Clean Sheet 16%

Tomares UD Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pozoblanco	Tomares UD
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	12	7
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.1	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Pozoblanco vs Tomares UD

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Tomares UD vs Pozoblanco

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Tomares UD vs Pozoblanco

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Pozoblanco vs Tomares UD

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Tomares UD vs Pozoblanco

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozoblanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaya J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Navarro Mateos I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozoblanco 37 / 100

Tomares UD 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pozoblanco Tomares UD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tomares UD or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pozoblanco attacking → ← attacking Tomares UD

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozoblanco scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tomares UD let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pozoblanco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tomares UD lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 37

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad de Lucena	34	22	7	5	69:25	73
2	Dos Hermanas	34	18	6	10	69:39	60
3	Atletico Central	34	15	10	9	36:29	55
4	Bollullos	34	14	11	9	43:35	53
5	AD Ceuta B	34	14	10	10	38:38	52
6	Linense	34	13	13	8	45:32	52
7	Cadiz B	34	14	10	10	50:38	52
8	Conil	34	15	7	12	43:44	52
9	Cordoba B	34	12	8	14	44:44	44
10	CD Utrera	34	12	8	14	40:47	44
11	Pozoblanco	34	10	13	11	39:44	43
12	Chiclana	34	10	13	11	39:45	43
13	San Roque de Lepe	34	10	13	11	39:39	43
14	Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)	34	10	10	14	36:43	40
15	Tomares UD	34	10	9	15	34:46	39
16	Sevilla C	34	10	8	16	34:41	38
17	Castilleja CF	34	6	9	19	28:62	27
18	Coria C.F.	34	4	9	21	24:59	21