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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs AD Torrejon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7
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Match Events

53' Event
Gamarra V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Pozuelo de Alarcon and AD Torrejon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pozuelo de Alarcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
15%
Draws
31%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon haven't matched AD Torrejon's recent run of results.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on AD Torrejon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 10%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon AD Torrejon
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs AD Torrejon
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:3
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamarra V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AD Torrejon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 22 / 100
AD Torrejon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

AD Torrejon has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Pozuelo de Alarcon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS AD Torrejon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Home)
25 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
17 Oct
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
11 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 3
Mexico
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
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AD Torrejon

(Away)
25 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
18 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
11 Oct
Siello
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
2 CD Las Rozas 8 5 2 1 20:12 17
3 Pozuelo de Alarcon 8 4 3 1 13:13 15
4 Colonia Moscardo 8 3 5 0 17:8 14
5 Galapagar 8 4 2 2 17:14 14
6 Cala Pozuelo 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
7 Union Adarve 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
8 Trival Valderas 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
9 Leganes B 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
10 AD Torrejon 8 3 1 4 11:7 10
11 CF Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
12 RC Alcobendas 8 2 2 4 14:17 8
13 Real Aranjuez 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
14 CP Parla Escuela 8 1 4 3 10:15 7
15 San Sebastian Reyes B 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
16 Mexico 8 1 3 4 12:15 6
17 Rayo Vallecano B 8 1 2 5 11:18 5
18 Siello 8 1 1 6 7:24 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)