Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs CD Mostoles

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pozuelo de Alarcon play CD Mostoles in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pozuelo de Alarcon averaged 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. CD Mostoles averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Pozuelo de Alarcon won 1, CD Mostoles won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Pozuelo de Alarcon and 1.06 for CD Mostoles. This points to a CD Mostoles double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
6%
Draws
4%
CD Mostoles
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Mostoles has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pozuelo de Alarcon.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pozuelo de Alarcon.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 7 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 20%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon CD Mostoles
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs CD Mostoles
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
4:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs CD Mostoles
2:3
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorite J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Mostoles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 85 / 100
CD Mostoles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon CD Mostoles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

CD Mostoles let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pozuelo de Alarcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Mostoles lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS CD Mostoles
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622