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Prachuap vs Chiangrai Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prachuap host Chiangrai Utd in the Thai League 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Chiangrai Utd have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Prachuap have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.23. Head-to-head, Prachuap have won 3 to Chiangrai Utd's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.00, favoring Prachuap. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Prachuap
20%
Draws
38%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prachuap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chiangrai Utd haven't matched Prachuap's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prachuap Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Prachuap
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chiangrai Utd
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Prachuap
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 League Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Prachuap
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chiangrai Utd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prachuap 32 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prachuap Chiangrai Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prachuap scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Chiangrai Utd has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Prachuap stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prachuap VS Chiangrai Utd
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prachuap

(Home)
19 Sept
Pattani
0 : 3
Prachuap
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
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Chiangrai Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)