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Pradejon vs Casalarreina CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Melgosa P.
34'
Torres J.
41' Event
Iglesias Ducha A. A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Pradejon and Casalarreina CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pradejon
15%
Draws
26%
Casalarreina CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pradejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Casalarreina CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Casalarreina CF a 26% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Casalarreina CF have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 18%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pradejon Casalarreina CF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Casalarreina CF
1:2
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Pradejon
3:1
Dec 6, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Casalarreina CF
1:4
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Casalarreina CF
0:3
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Pradejon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pradejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Marrodan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgosa P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias Ducha A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pradejon 28 / 100
Casalarreina CF 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pradejon Casalarreina CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casalarreina CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casalarreina CF let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Pradejon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Pradejon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pradejon VS Casalarreina CF
1 Goals Scored 0.6
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Pradejon

(Home)
27 Sept
Comillas CF
0 : 2
Pradejon
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1
Pradejon
Page 1 of 6

Casalarreina CF

(Away)
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
11 May
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 0
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 CD Calahorra 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Berceo 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 CDFC La Calzada 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Pradejon 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 Alfaro 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Varea 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Agoncillo 4 1 2 1 10:8 5
9 Cenicero 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Anguiano 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 San Marcial 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Comillas CF 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
13 Oyonesa 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Yague 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15 Casalarreina CF 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
16 River Ebro 4 1 0 3 4:12 3
17 Calasancio 4 0 2 2 5:11 2
18 Vianes 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)