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Pradejon vs Varea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
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Match Events

39' Event
Huerta A.

AI Match Summary

Varea in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Pradejon
20%
Draws
36%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pradejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Varea have won more games recently than Pradejon.
  • Win probability leans Varea's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Varea have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 15%
Varea Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pradejon Varea
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Varea
0:1
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Pradejon
1:0
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Varea
0:5
Oct 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Pradejon
3:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Varea
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pradejon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Huerta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pradejon 27 / 100
Varea 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pradejon Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pradejon's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Varea let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Pradejon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pradejon VS Varea
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pradejon

(Home)
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1
Pradejon
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1
Pradejon
Page 1 of 6

Varea

(Away)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)