Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pramogos Gargzdu vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with FK Kauno Zalgiris advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pramogos Gargzdu
22%
Draws
60%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kauno Zalgiris come out ahead of Pramogos Gargzdu on wins alone.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Kauno Zalgiris, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pramogos Gargzdu Clean Sheet 14%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pramogos Gargzdu FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 0 9
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2015 Lithuanian Cup
Pramogos Gargzdu vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pramogos Gargzdu 19 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pramogos Gargzdu FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pramogos Gargzdu scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Pramogos Gargzdu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pramogos Gargzdu

(Home)
27 May
Pramogos Gargzdu
1 : 2
Banga
29 Sept
Pramogos Gargzdu
1 : 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Sept
Pramogos Gargzdu
3 : 1
FK Visaginas
23 Aug
Olimpija Vilnius
2 : 3
Pramogos Gargzdu
24 Jul
Eurostandartas
1 : 2
Pramogos Gargzdu
Page 1 of 2

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
21 Jul
Klaksvik
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
18 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
4 : 0
FA Siauliai
14 Jul
Drita
2 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
11 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FK Panevezys
07 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1
Drita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Zalgiris-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Druskininkai-
TBD-
Kupiskis1
Vidzgiris Alytus5
Tera Vilnius2
Baltoji Voke1
TBD-
Gariunai Vilnius-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banga-
Pramogos Gargzdu2
Vulkanas Jurbarkas1
Sakuona Plikiai2
Eurostandartas3
Statyba-Sendvaris3
Gelezinis Vilkas1
Ateitis Vilnius0
Olimpija Vilnius1
Koralas Klaipeda2
Viltis Vilnius0
TBD-
Dainava Alytus-
FK Cementininkas-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Visaginas-
FBK Kaunas-
TBD-
Anyksciai0
SSPC FSK Radviliskis1
Adiada Siauliai3
Euforija Vilnius2
TAIP Vilnius0
Svyturys Marijampole1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Utenis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Kedainiai2
Elektrenu Versme1
TBD-
Bekentas Vilnius-
Sportidus Panevezys2
TEC Vilnius1
TBD-
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis-
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Krazante Kelme-
SFK Rotalis-
TBD-
TBD-
Silute-
FK Sveikata Kybartai-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Sirvena Birzai-
FK Atmosfera-
TBD-
Sarema Klaipeda0
Prelegentai Vilnius2
Tauras Taurage-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
MRU TiuMenas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Stumbras-
Riteriai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kruoja-
Siauliai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlantas-
Jonava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marijampole City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Granitas Klaipeda-
Dziugas Telsiai-
TBD-
TBD-
Juventa Siauliai-
Saulininkas Siauliai5
Granitas Vilnius3
TBD-
Auska Alytus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nevezis Kedainiai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suduva-
1/64-finals
Zalgiris-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Druskininkai2
Vidzgiris Alytus0
Tera Vilnius0
Gariunai Vilnius2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banga-
Pramogos Gargzdu2
Eurostandartas1
Statyba-Sendvaris0
Olimpija Vilnius2
Koralas Klaipeda7
Dainava Alytus0
FK Cementininkas2
FK Visaginas3
FBK Kaunas2
SSPC FSK Radviliskis1
Adiada Siauliai1
Svyturys Marijampole3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Utenis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Kedainiai3
Bekentas Vilnius2
Sportidus Panevezys1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis7
FK Panevezys5
FK Krazante Kelme0
SFK Rotalis0
Silute1
FK Sveikata Kybartai2
FK Sirvena Birzai0
FK Atmosfera2
Prelegentai Vilnius4
Tauras Taurage-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
MRU TiuMenas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Stumbras-
Riteriai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kruoja-
Siauliai-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlantas-
Jonava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marijampole City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Granitas Klaipeda-
Dziugas Telsiai6
Juventa Siauliai2
Saulininkas Siauliai1
Auska Alytus2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nevezis Kedainiai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suduva-
1/32-finals
Zalgiris-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Druskininkai3
Gariunai Vilnius0
TBD-
Banga-
Pramogos Gargzdu3
Olimpija Vilnius2
Koralas Klaipeda0
FK Visaginas2
FBK Kaunas2
Svyturys Marijampole0
TBD-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Utenis-
TBD-
FK Kedainiai1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis6
FK Panevezys3
Silute1
FK Sveikata Kybartai3
Prelegentai Vilnius5
Tauras Taurage-
TBD-
TBD-
MRU TiuMenas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Stumbras-
Riteriai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kruoja-
Siauliai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlantas-
Jonava-
TBD-
TBD-
Marijampole City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Granitas Klaipeda-
Dziugas Telsiai2
Auska Alytus1
TBD-
Nevezis Kedainiai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suduva-
1/16-finals
Zalgiris-
TBD-
Druskininkai0
Banga3
Pramogos Gargzdu3
FK Visaginas1
FBK Kaunas0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
Utenis3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis2
FK Panevezys1
Prelegentai Vilnius3
Tauras Taurage5
MRU TiuMenas4
TBD-
FC Stumbras-
Riteriai-
TBD-
TBD-
Kruoja-
Siauliai-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlantas-
Jonava4
Marijampole City0
TBD-
Granitas Klaipeda-
Dziugas Telsiai7
Nevezis Kedainiai1
TBD-
Suduva-
1/8-finals
Zalgiris4
Banga1
Pramogos Gargzdu1
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Utenis8
Prelegentai Vilnius0
Tauras Taurage2
FC Stumbras12
Riteriai3
Kruoja0
Siauliai0
Atlantas4
Jonava2
Granitas Klaipeda1
Dziugas Telsiai0
Suduva2
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris12
FK Kauno Zalgiris2
Utenis3
FC Stumbras5
Riteriai4
Atlantas1
Jonava0
Suduva6
Semi-finals
Zalgiris3
FC Stumbras1
Riteriai3
Suduva0
Final
Zalgiris1
Riteriai0