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Prato vs Ghiviborgo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Brugognone G.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Own Goal
87' Event
Benedetti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Prato and Ghiviborgo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Prato
30%
Draws
6%
Ghiviborgo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Prato's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Prato here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Prato Clean Sheet 20%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Ghiviborgo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.46 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Ghiviborgo
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Prato
0:3
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Ghiviborgo
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs Ghiviborgo
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Ghiviborgo vs Prato
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ghiviborgo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 85 / 100
Ghiviborgo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Ghiviborgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ghiviborgo conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Prato went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Ghiviborgo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3
Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Prato
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
Page 1 of 6

Ghiviborgo

(Away)
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Prato 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
3 Lucchese 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
4 Tau 6 4 0 2 10:12 12
5 Scandicci 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 Flaminia 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
7 Seravezza Pozzi 6 3 1 2 14:5 10
8 Siena 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
9 Ternana 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
10 Terranuova Traiana 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Montevarchi 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Mezzolara 6 1 4 1 4:6 7
14 Rondinella 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 Sasso Marconi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
16 SCD Progresso 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
17 Grassina 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
18 Ghiviborgo 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)