Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E

Prato

1 - 0

Terranuova Traiana

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Polvani L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Prato in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Prato

Draws

Terranuova Traiana

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Prato lately — more wins on the board than Terranuova Traiana.
Prato are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Prato Clean Sheet 68%

Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Prato	Terranuova Traiana
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	19	12
Draws	5	9
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.88	1
Goals Conceded	0.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E

Prato vs Terranuova Traiana

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Terranuova Traiana vs Prato

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Polvani L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Terranuova Traiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 95 / 100

Terranuova Traiana 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Prato Terranuova Traiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Prato has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Terranuova Traiana conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Terranuova Traiana

1.88 Goals Scored 1

0.38 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Grosseto	34	22	6	6	58:25	72
2	Tau	34	18	9	7	53:33	63
3	Prato	34	20	5	9	49:29	63
4	Siena	34	17	9	8	57:35	60
5	Seravezza Pozzi	34	15	12	7	42:29	57
6	Terranuova Traiana	34	14	9	11	28:30	51
7	Foligno	34	14	9	11	45:37	51
8	Scandicci	34	11	15	8	39:32	48
9	Montevarchi	34	10	16	8	28:32	46
10	Sporting Trestina	34	10	12	12	40:42	42
11	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	9	13	12	30:35	40
12	Ghiviborgo	34	10	10	14	42:44	40
13	Orvietana	34	9	11	14	33:37	38
14	Follonica Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36:49	37
15	Camaiore Calcio	34	9	8	17	41:54	35
16	Poggibonsi	34	7	10	17	29:46	31
17	Cannara	34	6	8	20	24:59	26
18	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	34	2	16	16	20:46	22