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Praviano vs Basico Urraca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Macia A.
10' Event
Nuno L.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Batalla A.

AI Match Summary

Basico Urraca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basico Urraca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Praviano
20%
Draws
36%
Basico Urraca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Praviano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Basico Urraca haven't matched Praviano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Praviano's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Praviano Clean Sheet 68%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Praviano Basico Urraca
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Praviano
1:4
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Basico Urraca
1:3
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Praviano
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Basico Urraca
1:0
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Praviano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Praviano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Basico Urraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Batalla A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Macia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Praviano 77 / 100
Basico Urraca 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Praviano Basico Urraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Praviano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basico Urraca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Praviano scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Praviano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Praviano VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Praviano

(Home)
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
25 Apr
Praviano
1 : 0
CD Mosconia
18 Apr
Union Club Ceares
3 : 2
Praviano
Page 1 of 7

Basico Urraca

(Away)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)