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Prelouc vs Lazne Bohdanec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Pardubicky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prelouc enters this Pardubicky KP 2025/2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 59%. Prelouc averages 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Lazne Bohdanec shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Prelouc, 0 wins for Lazne Bohdanec, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 29.05.26 ended in a 1:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.50 for Prelouc and 0.94 for Lazne Bohdanec, suggesting the primary value lies in the Prelouc double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Prelouc
25%
Draws
16%
Lazne Bohdanec
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Prelouc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Prelouc picked up more points recently compared to Lazne Bohdanec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Prelouc Clean Sheet 24%
Lazne Bohdanec Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prelouc Lazne Bohdanec
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.37 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

29.05.26 Pardubicky KP
Lazne Bohdanec vs Prelouc
1:4
01.11.25 Pardubicky KP
Prelouc vs Lazne Bohdanec
4:2
01.06.25 Pardubicky KP
Lazne Bohdanec vs Prelouc
1:5
02.11.24 Pardubicky KP
Prelouc vs Lazne Bohdanec
1:1
22.05.24 Pardubicky KP
Lazne Bohdanec vs Prelouc
0:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Prelouc

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Lazne Bohdanec

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prelouc 58 / 100
Lazne Bohdanec 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prelouc Lazne Bohdanec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prelouc Win (1)
Secondary Pick Prelouc & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Prelouc is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Prelouc 65%
Lazne Bohdanec 13%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Lazne Bohdanec will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Prelouc's attacks.

Prelouc 56%
Lazne Bohdanec 17%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Prelouc to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Prelouc 59%
Lazne Bohdanec 16%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Prelouc vary their attacking width.

Prelouc 62%
Lazne Bohdanec 15%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Lazne Bohdanec, allowing Prelouc's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Prelouc 53%
Lazne Bohdanec 18%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Prelouc, while Lazne Bohdanec takes risks to salvage a result.

Prelouc 68%
Lazne Bohdanec 18%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prelouc attacking → ← attacking Lazne Bohdanec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prelouc have found the net in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Lazne Bohdanec have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.80 goals per match.

Prelouc remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Lazne Bohdanec suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 17
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25