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Premia vs Balaguer

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010 game between Premia and Balaguer finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Premia
15%
Draws
0%
Balaguer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Premia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Premia haven't matched Balaguer's recent run of results.
  • Premia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Premia Clean Sheet 19%
Balaguer Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Premia Balaguer
Matches Played 35 38
Wins 5 6
Draws 10 14
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.74 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.8 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Premia
1:0
Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs Balaguer
1:2
Apr 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs Balaguer
1:1
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Premia
1:2
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Premia
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Premia 85 / 100
Balaguer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Premia Balaguer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Premia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balaguer let in goals in 87% of their last 38 matches.

Away concern: Balaguer has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Premia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Balaguer
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Premia

(Home)
15 May
Espanyol B
3 : 2
Premia
08 May
Premia
1 : 0
CE Europa
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
6 : 0
Premia
21 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Premia
17 Apr
Premia
0 : 5
Terrassa
Page 1 of 7

Balaguer

(Away)
19 May
UE Rubi
10 : 2
Balaguer
11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3
Vilassar de Mar
04 May
UE Rapitenca
5 : 2
Balaguer
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4
CE Europa
27 Apr
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
Balaguer
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 L Hospitalet 38 25 11 2 75:16 86
2 Reus FC Reddis 38 25 8 5 69:23 83
3 Santboia 38 20 10 8 68:46 70
4 Prat 38 19 10 9 60:33 67
5 Cornella 38 16 13 9 43:41 61
6 Manlleu AEC 38 15 15 8 53:39 60
7 Som Maresme 38 15 11 12 58:42 56
8 CE Europa 38 13 15 10 56:51 54
9 Balaguer 38 13 13 12 55:48 52
10 Amposta 38 13 13 12 58:60 52
11 UE Castelldefels 38 13 8 17 52:62 47
12 Palamos CF 38 13 7 18 42:55 46
13 CF Vilanova 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
14 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 10 16 47:54 46
15 UD Cassa 38 11 11 16 50:61 44
16 Benavent 38 11 10 17 48:69 43
17 Premia 38 9 9 20 35:53 36
18 UE Rapitenca 38 9 7 22 46:71 34
19 Blanes 38 7 6 25 43:85 27
20 Olesa de Montserrat 38 5 11 22 30:75 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)