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Premia vs Pobla Mafumet

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010 game between Premia and Pobla Mafumet finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobla Mafumet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Premia
15%
Draws
51%
Pobla Mafumet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pobla Mafumet come out ahead of Premia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pobla Mafumet a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pobla Mafumet have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Premia Clean Sheet 20%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Premia Pobla Mafumet
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Premia
6:0
Dec 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs Pobla Mafumet
0:2
Apr 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs Pobla Mafumet
2:4
Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Premia
1:1
Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Premia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Premia 10 / 100
Pobla Mafumet 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Premia Pobla Mafumet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Pobla Mafumet has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Pobla Mafumet has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Premia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Pobla Mafumet
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Premia

(Home)
15 May
Espanyol B
3 : 2
Premia
08 May
Premia
1 : 0
CE Europa
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
6 : 0
Premia
21 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Premia
17 Apr
Premia
0 : 5
Terrassa
Page 1 of 6

Pobla Mafumet

(Away)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 L Hospitalet 38 25 11 2 75:16 86
2 Reus FC Reddis 38 25 8 5 69:23 83
3 Santboia 38 20 10 8 68:46 70
4 Prat 38 19 10 9 60:33 67
5 Cornella 38 16 13 9 43:41 61
6 Manlleu AEC 38 15 15 8 53:39 60
7 Som Maresme 38 15 11 12 58:42 56
8 CE Europa 38 13 15 10 56:51 54
9 Balaguer 38 13 13 12 55:48 52
10 Amposta 38 13 13 12 58:60 52
11 UE Castelldefels 38 13 8 17 52:62 47
12 Palamos CF 38 13 7 18 42:55 46
13 CF Vilanova 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
14 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 10 16 47:54 46
15 UD Cassa 38 11 11 16 50:61 44
16 Benavent 38 11 10 17 48:69 43
17 Premia 38 9 9 20 35:53 36
18 UE Rapitenca 38 9 7 22 46:71 34
19 Blanes 38 7 6 25 43:85 27
20 Olesa de Montserrat 38 5 11 22 30:75 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)