Sport Picks
Primavera EC vs Gremio Prudente
Brazil
Copa Paulista 2025 
Match Events
31'
31'
Brunao
45'
45'
Brunao
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Marcos Moser In: Kauan
Out: Marcos Moser
AI Match Summary
Primavera EC in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gremio Prudente haven't matched Primavera EC's recent run of results.
- Primavera EC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Primavera EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Primavera EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Primavera EC | Gremio Prudente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Gremio Prudente
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Copa Paulista
Gremio Prudente vs Primavera EC
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A2
Gremio Prudente vs Primavera EC
2:2
Oct 19, 2014 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs Gremio Prudente
1:0
Sep 27, 2014 Paulista A4
Gremio Prudente vs Primavera EC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Primavera EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Brunao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Gremio Prudente Compare
Top Goalscorer Mateus Muller
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Primavera EC 77 / 100
Gremio Prudente 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Primavera EC Gremio Prudente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Primavera EC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Primavera EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Gremio Prudente let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Primavera EC VS Gremio Prudente
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Primavera EC
(Home) 29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5 Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
16 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 2 Primavera EC
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Juventus-SP
02 Aug
Juventus-SP
0 : 1 Primavera EC
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22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Juventus-SP
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0 Osasco Sporting
15 Feb
Primavera EC
3 : 3 Noroeste
31 Jan
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Portuguesa
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Gremio Prudente
(Away) 31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0 Marilia
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2 Gremio Prudente
03 Aug
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Linense
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2 Gremio Prudente
17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1 Gremio Prudente
25 Feb
Agua Santa
4 : 3 Gremio Prudente
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Piracicaba 2
AEA Aracatuba 1
Portuguesa Santista 1
Osasco Sporting 2
Sao Jose EC 3
Sao Bento 2
Comercial 2
Internacional de Limeira 1
Uniao Sao Joao 3
Noroeste 1
Primavera EC 2
Paulista 1
Gremio Prudente 2
Sao Caetano 0
Monte Azul 2
Francana 3
Quarter-finals
Piracicaba 3
Osasco Sporting 0
Sao Jose EC 0
Comercial 2
Uniao Sao Joao 0
Primavera EC 6
Gremio Prudente 4
Francana 1
Semi-finals
Piracicaba 2
Comercial 1
Primavera EC 3
Gremio Prudente 2
Final
Piracicaba 2
Primavera EC 1
