Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primavera EC vs Guarani B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Brunao
12' Event
Brunao
28' Event
Cleiton

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Primavera EC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Primavera EC
20%
Draws
10%
Guarani B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Guarani B haven't matched Primavera EC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Primavera EC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Primavera EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Primavera EC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera EC Guarani B
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 15 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.16 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Primavera EC
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Guarani B
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cleiton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Guarani B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera EC 95 / 100
Guarani B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera EC Guarani B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani B has conceded goals in 88% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Primavera EC scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Primavera EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primavera EC VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera EC

(Home)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

Guarani B

(Away)
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2
Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0
Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3
Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Guarani B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)