Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primorje vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina, Ajdovščina
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Jovanovic S.
34'
Sub
Besir Z. In: Zavnik M.
Out: Besir Z.
54'
Verbic L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Primorje
28%
Draws
22%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Primorje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nafta lately — more wins on the board than Primorje.
  • Model gives Primorje a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Nafta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Primorje Clean Sheet 68%
Nafta Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorje Nafta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Primorje
1:0
May 27, 2026 Prva liga
Primorje vs Nafta
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Prva liga
Primorje vs Nafta
2:2
Feb 21, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Primorje
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Prva liga
Primorje vs Nafta
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorje 59 / 100
Nafta 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorje Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nafta conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Primorje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nafta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primorje VS Nafta
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Primorje

(Home)
22 Jul
Primorje
0 : 0
Uljanik Pula
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
27 May
Primorje
0 : 0
Nafta
22 May
Primorje
0 : 4
Celje
16 May
Aluminij
0 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

Nafta

(Away)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Primorje0
Nafta1