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Princesa do Solimoes vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Pinheiro Bezerra F.
13' Event
Warlei
23' Event
Pinheiro Bezerra F.

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2024 game between Princesa do Solimoes and Unidos do Alvorada finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unidos do Alvorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Princesa do Solimoes
40%
Draws
29%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Unidos do Alvorada come out ahead of Princesa do Solimoes on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Princesa do Solimoes Clean Sheet 17%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Princesa do Solimoes Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:4
Jan 19, 2024 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Unidos do Alvorada
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Princesa do Solimoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Warlei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Unidos do Alvorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinheiro Bezerra F.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Princesa do Solimoes 31 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Princesa do Solimoes Unidos do Alvorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Princesa do Solimoes's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Unidos do Alvorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Unidos do Alvorada's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Princesa do Solimoes VS Unidos do Alvorada
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Manaus FC5
Sao Raimundo AM0
Princesa do Solimoes1
Unidos do Alvorada4
Manauara1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)0
Amazonas1
Parintins3
Semi-finals
Manaus FC4
Unidos do Alvorada0
Manauara1
Parintins2
Final
Manaus FC1
Parintins0