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Pro Livorno vs Tiferno Lerchi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Solimano N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Pro Livorno and Tiferno Lerchi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Livorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pro Livorno
44%
Draws
20%
Tiferno Lerchi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tiferno Lerchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pro Livorno Clean Sheet 17%
Tiferno Lerchi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Livorno Tiferno Lerchi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Pro Livorno vs Tiferno Lerchi
1:0
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Tiferno Lerchi vs Pro Livorno
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Solimano N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Tiferno Lerchi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Livorno 36 / 100
Tiferno Lerchi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Livorno Tiferno Lerchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiferno Lerchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Pro Livorno scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tiferno Lerchi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Livorno VS Tiferno Lerchi
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Livorno

(Home)
15 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Pianese
08 May
Scandicci
2 : 2
Pro Livorno
01 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 0
Pro Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Tiferno Lerchi

(Away)
15 May
Tiferno Lerchi
2 : 2
Scandicci
08 May
Cannara
1 : 1
Tiferno Lerchi
01 May
Tiferno Lerchi
0 : 3
Pianese
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Tiferno Lerchi
1 : 4
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Donato Tavarnelle34263586:3081
2Poggibonsi34235661:2874
3Arezzo341810665:4564
4Follonica Gavorrano34189763:3063
5Pianese341681058:4256
6Lornano Badesse341591047:4354
7Sporting Trestina3413101148:4349
8Flaminia341371449:5046
9Tiferno Lerchi3410121236:4842
10Montespaccato341191443:4442
11Mobilieri Ponsacco341191439:4042
12Sangiovannese349141137:3941
13Scandicci3410111336:4441
14FC Rieti34981739:5835
15Foligno34981746:6535
16Unipomezia34871938:6431
17Cannara34592027:5224
18Pro Livorno34562331:8421
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)