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Pro Palazzolo vs Arconatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Boschetti A.
50' Event
Paloschi A.
55' Event
Spaviero T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Pro Palazzolo and Arconatese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Palazzolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Pro Palazzolo
20%
Draws
15%
Arconatese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Palazzolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Pro Palazzolo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pro Palazzolo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Pro Palazzolo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 68%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Palazzolo Arconatese
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.55 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Arconatese
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Pro Palazzolo
0:2
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Pro Palazzolo
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Arconatese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Boschetti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paloschi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Arconatese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Palazzolo 68 / 100
Arconatese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Palazzolo Arconatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Palazzolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arconatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Pro Palazzolo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pro Palazzolo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pro Palazzolo VS Arconatese
1 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Palazzolo

(Home)
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
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Arconatese

(Away)
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)