Sport Picks
Pro Patria vs Triestina Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Kosijer S. In: Davis H.
Out: Kosijer S.
48'
48'
Desogus J.
53'
53'
Silvestri T.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Patria and Triestina finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
30%
14%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pro Patria carry the better recent record into this one.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Pro Patria taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Patria | Triestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Triestina
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Pro Patria
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Pro Patria
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Triestina
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Pro Patria
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pro Patria Compare
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Triestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Silvestri T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pro Patria 95 / 100
Triestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pro Patria Triestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Triestina has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Pro Patria scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Pro Patria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pro Patria VS Triestina
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pro Patria
(Home) 27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1 Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1 Solbiatese
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1 Gozzano
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Triestina
(Away) 27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0 Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0 Triestina
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0 Triestina
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Triestina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
