Sport Picks
Pro Sesto vs Arconatese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni 
Match Events
64'
64'
Sportelli M.
64'
64'
Cavagna J.
(Penalty)
86'
86'
Santambrogio A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Arconatese haven't matched Pro Sesto's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pro Sesto a 44% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 68%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Arconatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Arconatese
1:1
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto
0:3
Jan 5, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto
4:2
Sep 1, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Arconatese
3:1
Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Pro Sesto vs Arconatese
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pro Sesto Compare
Top Goalscorer Santambrogio A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Arconatese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pro Sesto 86 / 100
Arconatese 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pro Sesto Arconatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Pro Sesto's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Arconatese has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pro Sesto VS Arconatese
1.13 Goals Scored 0.8
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Pro Sesto
(Home) 12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2 Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0 Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Piacenza
3 : 1 Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0 Tuttocuoio
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0 Pistoiese
29 Mar
Pro Sesto
2 : 4 Imolese
15 Mar
Pro Sesto
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
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Arconatese
(Away) 12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1 Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Chievo
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0 Arconatese
06 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
3 : 0 Arconatese
30 Mar
Magenta
1 : 1 Arconatese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:34 | 75 |
| 2 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 69:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:29 | 69 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 58:34 | 68 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:42 | 68 |
| 6 | Varesina | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 7 | Chievo | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:37 | 57 |
| 8 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Club Milano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 44:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 11 | Sondrio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Breno | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:53 | 47 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 43:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Vigasio | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:41 | 45 |
| 15 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Crema | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Magenta | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33:53 | 36 |
| 18 | Fanfulla | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 28:57 | 32 |
| 19 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 41:70 | 31 |
| 20 | Arconatese | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 33:64 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
