Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pro Sesto vs Aurora Seriate

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Pro Sesto and Aurora Seriate finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Pro Sesto
15%
Draws
37%
Aurora Seriate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pro Sesto come out ahead of Aurora Seriate on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pro Sesto a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 20%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Sesto Aurora Seriate
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Pro Sesto
1:0
Dec 14, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Aurora Seriate
2:1
Jan 5, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Aurora Seriate
1:1
Sep 1, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Pro Sesto
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 76 / 100
Aurora Seriate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Sesto Aurora Seriate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Sesto found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Aurora Seriate conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Sesto

(Home)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 7

Aurora Seriate

(Away)
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3
Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2
Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)