Sport Picks
Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina
Italy
Serie D - Group D Stadio Ernesto Breda 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Pro Sesto host Desenzano Calvina in the Serie D - Group D. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Pro Sesto at 1 goals for, 1.38 against; Desenzano Calvina at 1 for, 0.38 against. Head-to-head, Pro Sesto have won 1 to Desenzano Calvina's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Desenzano Calvina. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Desenzano Calvina has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pro Sesto.
- Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Desenzano Calvina.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group D provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 22 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pro Sesto Compare
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pro Sesto scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Desenzano Calvina let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Pro Sesto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Desenzano Calvina lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |